Speciality: Tài chính – Ngân hàng – Bảo hiểm

Author: Dinh Thi Thu Ha, Georg Köpf, Le Thi Hong Minh, Hoang Thi Phuong Anh

This study investigates the financial cointegration of Southeast Asian stock markets—specifically Vietnam, Thailand, the Philippines, Malaysia, Indonesia, and Singapore—with major global markets, including the US, UK, Germany, Japan, and China, from January 2009 to December 2023. The analysis utilizes the bounds testing approach for cointegration and applies an error-correction model (ECM) based on the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) framework. Empirical results reveal significant short-run and long-run relationships between Southeast Asian and global stock market returns. Notably, the study finds a particularly strong and significant integration between Southeast Asian stock markets and the Chinese stock market, underscoring China’s influential role within the regional financial landscape.

Keywords: financial cointegration, bounds testing, ARDL

Thông tin:

Thuộc danh mụcTạp chí
Tạp chíJournal of Economic and Banking Studies
Nhà xuất bảnBanking Academy of Vietnam
Trang64-75
TậpVol.5(1)
SốNo. 9
Ngày xuất bản June 2025
DOI10.59276/JEBS.2025.06.2703